Cyclical stock adalah saham siklus, yaitu saham yang kinerja dan harganya sangat dipengaruhi oleh siklus bisnis atau kondisi perekonomian suatu negara. Tahapan siklus bisnis ada 4, dan ini akan selalu berulang, yaitu ekpansi yang ditandai dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang meningkat dengan daya beli tinggi tinggi dan rendahnya tingkat pengangguran, kemudian masuk ke tahap resesi yang ditandai dengan menurunnya pendapatan dan konsumsi masyarakat, dan otomatis ekonomi mengalami perlambatan, setela itu fase masuk ke arah depresi, yang ditandai dengan kondisi yang lebih parah dari resesi, konsumsi turun secara drastis, pengangguran semakin tinggi, defisit negara semakin membesar, dan setelah itu masuk ke tahapan pemulihan yang ditandai dengan meningkatnya pendapatan dan konsumsi masyarakat, produsen mulai meningkatkan produksinya, dan penangguran lambat laun mulai berkurang.
Nah, untuk barang-barang consumer goods yang menjadi barang pokok atau kebutuhan primer, pada setiap sikus umumnya permintaanya cenderung stabil. Contoh, misalkan beras yang menjadi bahan makanan pokok, mau di siklus manapun permintaan akan beras ini akan tetap ada, dan cenderung stabil karena memang menjadi kebutuhan wajib. Itu sebabnya industri yang menangani kebutuhan primer seperti bahan makanan ini tidak akan terdampak secara signifikan walaupun terjadi perubahan siklus. Tapi kondisi seperti itu tentunya tidak dialami oleh industri yang menyediakan kebutuhan sekunder maupun tertier, yang pada umumnya kebutuhannya akan naik turun sesuai dengan... READ FULL ARTICLE
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